Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $25,973$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $374$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $5,070$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $103,200$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{92,674.0}{1 + 10^{-0.015 (t - 101.3)}}\) (asimptote \(92,674.0\))
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5,918$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,789.1}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 52.2)}}\) (asimptote \(5,789.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $97,282$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $16,603$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{19,140.6}{1 + 10^{-0.005 (t - 137.9)}}\) (asimptote \(19,140.6\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $278$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{256.1}{1 + 10^{-0.044 (t - 32.1)}}\) (asimptote \(256.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $4,462$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $13,555$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,092.3}{1 + 10^{-0.014 (t - 66.5)}}\) (asimptote \(9,092.3\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $351$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{333.1}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 36.6)}}\) (asimptote \(333.1\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $4,104$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $36,345$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $686$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{620.9}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 35.5)}}\) (asimptote \(620.9\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $5,611$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,101$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,119.6}{1 + 10^{-0.043 (t - 33.6)}}\) (asimptote \(2,119.6\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $11$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.0}{1 + 10^{-0.073 (t - 22.3)}}\) (asimptote \(10.0\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,234$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $230,480$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10,443$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,820.4}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 39.2)}}\) (asimptote \(9,820.4\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $198,823$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $744,122$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,279,163.6}{1 + 10^{-0.004 (t - 476.3)}}\) (asimptote \(5,279,163.6\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $43,816$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{41,245.0}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 46.0)}}\) (asimptote \(41,245.0\))
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $697,693$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $423,578$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{273,902.5}{1 + 10^{-0.022 (t - 51.8)}}\) (asimptote \(273,902.5\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $36,616$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{35,083.3}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 47.2)}}\) (asimptote \(35,083.3\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $134,003$ on 2020-10-19
